2023 Fantasy Hockey Team Previews: Detroit Red Wings
The 2023 DailyFaceoff Fantasy Hockey Projections has projected stats for over 650 skaters and goalies.
The Fantasy Hockey Team Previews have all the projections for that team and mini-bios for all the Re-Draft and Dynasty relevant skaters and goalies. We will release the previews from September 5th through September 14th.
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Skaters
Dylan Larkin
GP | G | A | PTS | (+/-) | PIM | PPG | PPA | PPP | SOG | S% | ATOI | FOW | BLK | HIT |
73.3 | 27.3 | 37.2 | 64.5 | -16.8 | 49.4 | 5.6 | 9.2 | 14.7 | 228.8 | 11.9% | 20.16 | 698.7 | 35.2 | 69.0 |
Following a couple of disappointing seasons in 2020 and 2021, Larkin registered 30-plus goals for the second time in his career in 2022. Lucas Raymond’s exceptional rookie campaign helped Larkin return to form, and the duo should continue to build on an impressive start. Unfortunately, Larkin’s shot volume dipped a bit, which makes a return to 30 goals a little less likely. However, there’s still a chance he can return to the elite shot volume from 2019 and 2020. With an improving roster around him, the Red Wings power-play could take a step forward this season and unlock a few extra points for Larkin.
David Perron
GP | G | A | PTS | (+/-) | PIM | PPG | PPA | PPP | SOG | S% | ATOI | FOW | BLK | HIT |
76.5 | 24.7 | 38.5 | 63.2 | -7.2 | 46.0 | 9.0 | 17.7 | 26.7 | 189.9 | 13.0% | 16.92 | 1.2 | 19.3 | 75.7 |
Perron signed a two-year deal with the Red Wings this offseason, adding a veteran presence to a top-6 that had an average age of 25.4. Since turning 30 years old, Perron has averaged 31 goals and 41 assists (72 points) per 82 games–although he’s missed 13.8 percent of the games over those four years. However, power-play points make up 40 percent of Perron’s production profile, so he could take a dip if Detroit’s power-play doesn’t improve from the 26th-ranked unit.
Lucas Raymond
GP | G | A | PTS | (+/-) | PIM | PPG | PPA | PPP | SOG | S% | ATOI | FOW | BLK | HIT |
82.0 | 25.3 | 36.9 | 62.2 | -16.4 | 25.7 | 5.5 | 14.1 | 19.6 | 202.0 | 12.5% | 18.62 | 12.3 | 24.6 | 63.6 |
Raymond dazzled right from the drop of the puck in his rookie year, posting 22 points (10G / 12A) in his first 24 games. He cooled off with 35 points (13G / 22A) in his final 58 games. That extrapolates to 18.4 goals and 31.1 assists over 82 games, so consider that his floor entering his sophomore season. His ceiling is considerably higher–in the last five years, top-10 picks have seen their points-per-game jump 0.16 from year one to year two. A similar jump for Raymond would result in a 70-point campaign for the 2020 No.4 overall pick.
Tyler Bertuzzi
GP | G | A | PTS | (+/-) | PIM | PPG | PPA | PPP | SOG | S% | ATOI | FOW | BLK | HIT |
74.0 | 27.8 | 32.0 | 59.8 | -11.9 | 46.7 | 6.1 | 10.7 | 16.7 | 169.0 | 16.5% | 19.64 | 6.6 | 40.5 | 75.2 |
Bertuzzi missed most of the 2021 season but returned in 2022 to post career-bests in goals (30), assists (32), points (62), and shots on goal (180). The issue for Bertuzzi was his second half. He had 44 points (23G / 21A) in his first 42 games but just 18 points (7G / 11A) in his final 26 games. The true Bertuzzi likely lies somewhere in between. He’s not above a point-per-game but should finish with 25-to-30 goals and 30-plus assists in 2022-23.
Jakub Vrana
GP | G | A | PTS | (+/-) | PIM | PPG | PPA | PPP | SOG | S% | ATOI | FOW | BLK | HIT |
74.7 | 29.2 | 27.7 | 56.9 | -4.4 | 30.1 | 7.0 | 8.5 | 15.5 | 204.5 | 14.3% | 17.27 | 6.0 | 20.7 | 44.8 |
Vrana was a popular breakout pick last September but suffered an injury in training camp and missed the first five months of the season. Upon his return, he scored 13 goals with six assists (19 points) in 26 games, firmly entrenching him as a breakout candidate for 2022-23. In just 37 games with the Red Wings, he’s scored 21 goals with nine assists (30 points). While he won’t maintain the 21.6 SH% from that stretch, his 2.6 shots per game suggest there’s still 30-goal upside this season. Helping the cause for his breakout is the additions of Andrew Copp and Perron, meaning he’ll have strong linemates even if he doesn’t land with Larkin and Raymond–which was not the case a season ago.
Moritz Seider
GP | G | A | PTS | (+/-) | PIM | PPG | PPA | PPP | SOG | S% | ATOI | FOW | BLK | HIT |
82.0 | 7.6 | 46.6 | 54.3 | -9.2 | 32.7 | 2.2 | 21.6 | 23.8 | 191.2 | 4.0% | 23.55 | 0.0 | 164.6 | 154.4 |
In 2021-22, Seider became just the fifth defenseman to top 50 points in his rookie season. Seider became a fantasy stud, especially in banger leagues–he was one of just two defensemen to register at least 50 points, 20 power-play points, 180 shots and 150 hits–Kris Letang was the other. Entering his second season, it’s easy to project him for another 40-plus assist season, and a bump in personal shooting percentage (3.7% in 2022) could lead to double-digit goals. In banger leagues, he has top-5 upside, but he’ll probably be closer to the top-10 non-hits leagues.
Andrew Copp
GP | G | A | PTS | (+/-) | PIM | PPG | PPA | PPP | SOG | S% | ATOI | FOW | BLK | HIT |
74.9 | 19.7 | 30.6 | 50.4 | -5.7 | 18.7 | 4.5 | 5.9 | 10.4 | 173.1 | 11.4% | 18.67 | 327.2 | 44.4 | 62.9 |
Copp reached new levels during the 2021-22 season, especially during his brief time with the Rangers. Copp had 18 points (8G / 10A) in 16 games in New York and finished the season with a career-high 53 points (21G / 32A). Now with the Red Wings, he won’t have the luxury of skating with Artemi Panarin, but Detroit’s wingers should be good enough to help him maintain the 20-plus goal, 30-plus assist pace from 2021-to-2022.
Dominik Kubalik
GP | G | A | PTS | (+/-) | PIM | PPG | PPA | PPP | SOG | S% | ATOI | FOW | BLK | HIT |
79.6 | 21.8 | 21.5 | 43.3 | -10.2 | 19.8 | 3.9 | 8.2 | 12.1 | 188.6 | 11.6% | 15.23 | 6.0 | 26.7 | 93.9 |
Kubalik scored 30 goals in his rookie season but has just 32 tallies in 134 games combined over the last two seasons. His initial 19.1 SH% was never going to be sustainable, but signing in Detroit gives the Red Wings another goal-scorer in their middle-6. While he’ll likely never get back to 30 goals, he’s maintained shot volume close to 200 per 82 games, making 20 goals easily sustainable for him. He should open the season on the waiver wire but could be someone worth streaming when he’s skating in the Red Wings’ top-6.
Filip Hronek
GP | G | A | PTS | (+/-) | PIM | PPG | PPA | PPP | SOG | S% | ATOI | FOW | BLK | HIT |
78.5 | 5.4 | 32.2 | 37.6 | -15.5 | 35.9 | 1.0 | 8.7 | 9.8 | 143.5 | 3.8% | 22.70 | 0.0 | 78.4 | 86.1 |
Over the years, Hronek has been a consistent albeit unspectacular point producer on the back end. Even with Seider’s breakout, Hronek made up for the lack of power-play usage with a considerable uptick in 5v5 points. He should continue to play big minutes on Detroit’s blueline, but he’s nothing more than a No.5 fantasy defenseman without substantial power-play time.
Filip Zadina
GP | G | A | PTS | (+/-) | PIM | PPG | PPA | PPP | SOG | S% | ATOI | FOW | BLK | HIT |
74.0 | 13.1 | 15.9 | 29.0 | -12.3 | 6.9 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 10.5 | 152.4 | 8.6% | 14.98 | 5.5 | 33.1 | 48.1 |
Zadina should be nowhere near your re-draft leagues but should still be in consideration in deep dynasty leagues. He’s still just 22 years old, and his 6.4 SH% (from 2021 and 2022) has plenty of room for growth. The offseason additions will likely force Zadina into a bottom-6 role, but Detroit just signed him to a three-year deal, so he’s still part of their future.
Simon Edvinsson
GP | G | A | PTS | (+/-) | PIM | PPG | PPA | PPP | SOG | S% | ATOI | FOW | BLK | HIT |
41.0 | 2.7 | 18.1 | 20.7 | -6.8 | 15.4 | 0.5 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 69.1 | 3.9% | 18.50 | 0.0 | 35.5 | 47.0 |
Edvinsson is the Red Wings’ top prospect and one of the most highly regarded prospects in the entire NHL. The 2021 No.6 overall pick is silky smooth for a player of his size (6-foot-4, 198 lbs.). He’s coming off a season where he played significant minutes (19:42/gm) for Frolunda (SHL) and now appears poised to make the leap to the NHL. With Jake Walman and Mark Pysyk out for the start of the season, Edvinsson should at least start the season in Detroit. It’s doubtful that he’ll have a big enough effect in his rookie year to be relevant in re-draft leagues, but he should be a popular dynasty addition. Edvinsson should skate next to Seider for years to come.
Goalies
Ville Husso
GS | W | L | T/O | SV% | GAA | SO |
41.0 | 19.8 | 16.6 | 4.6 | 0.912 | 2.87 | 2.3 |
Husso was acquired from the St. Louis Blues this offseason and signed a three-year extension with the Red Wings. The 27-year-old netminder was terrific last season, ranking seventh in SV% (.919), 12th in GAA (2.56) and won 65.8 percent of his starts (8th). In Detroit, he’ll be in a platoon with Alex Nedeljkovic, and it’s anybody’s guess how new head coach Derek Lalonde will split up the starts. Even if they divvy up the games evenly, Husso will be drafted as a No.3 fantasy option, so you won’t need him to be in the crease every night. The Blues and Red Wings were pretty even in terms of xGA last year, so the move shouldn’t drastically affect Husso’s splits.
Alex Nedeljkovic
GS | W | L | T/O | SV% | GAA | SO |
41.0 | 17.8 | 18.6 | 4.6 | 0.908 | 3.02 | 3.8 |
In his first season as a bonafide No.1 netminder, Nedeljkovic started the season at 8-3-3 with a 2.60 GAA and .920 SV%. Then things went downhill, going 12-21-6 with a 3.58 GAA and .894 SV%. Adding Husso in the offseason likely means that Nedeljkovic will not start 63 percent of the games again. However, the Red Wings should be much improved defensively this season, so expect Nedeljkovic to get back closer to a .910 SV% with fewer appearances.
Remaining Red Wings Projections
Player | Pos | GP | G | A | PTS | (+/-) | PIM | PPG | PPA | PPP | SOG | S% | ATOI | FOW | BLK | HIT |
Pius Suter | C | 82.0 | 15.8 | 19.2 | 35.1 | -10.5 | 22.9 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 156.2 | 10.1% | 15.72 | 435.5 | 38.8 | 27.8 |
Oskar Sundqvist | RW | 66.3 | 10.1 | 15.1 | 25.2 | -7.2 | 32.7 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 85.3 | 11.9% | 14.29 | 126.8 | 37.0 | 84.1 |
Michael Rasmussen | C | 71.8 | 11.1 | 12.0 | 23.1 | -17.4 | 52.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3.5 | 109.0 | 10.2% | 14.15 | 282.7 | 52.2 | 122.5 |
Ben Chiarot | D | 72.5 | 7.1 | 13.9 | 21.0 | -12.4 | 56.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 133.5 | 5.3% | 21.60 | 0.0 | 118.5 | 144.1 |
Adam Erne | LW | 71.0 | 7.7 | 11.0 | 18.7 | -8.9 | 33.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 98.0 | 7.8% | 13.30 | 30.1 | 34.6 | 147.2 |
Gustav Lindstrom | D | 76.0 | 1.0 | 14.1 | 15.1 | -7.4 | 26.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 48.7 | 2.0% | 16.15 | 0.0 | 92.0 | 73.8 |
Olli Maatta | D | 70.8 | 1.5 | 9.0 | 10.6 | -7.6 | 13.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 74.3 | 2.1% | 18.50 | 0.0 | 106.1 | 86.2 |