2024 NHL Draft Lottery Odds: Which teams have the best chance to select Macklin Celebrini?
Congratulations to the San Jose Sharks. You were the worst team in the NHL in 2023-24.
The reward? The best odds at landing Macklin Celebrini.
When the Chicago Blackhawks landed Connor Bedard, it had franchise-changing impacts already being witnessed in the Windy City. This year, the prize is Celebrini, a Boston University standout fresh off of becoming the first 17-year-old to win the Hobey Baker Award in NCAA history.
Teams can only win the lottery twice in a five-year span. Chicago, for example, could do it one more time before they’re no longer eligible. The team with the best odds won it the two years prior, with Montreal taking Juraj Slafkovsky in 2022 and Buffalo selecting Owen Power in 2021. It’s been rare to see a team with minuscule odds win it all, but it happened in 2020 when the New York Rangers won the lottery with the 14th-best odds in 2020 and took Alexis Lafreniere.
Last year, the Anaheim Ducks had the best odds of selecting first overall, with a 25.5 chance at the lottery. Instead, the Chicago Blackhawks – sitting third at 11.5 – earned the honor of drafting Bedard with the first pick, with Columbus falling from second to third.
Some key dates to know:
- NHL Draft Lottery: May 7
- NHL Draft Combine: June 2-8 at the LECOM Harborcenter in Buffalo, N.Y.
- NHL Draft: June 28-29 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, NV.
Slackin’ for Macklin
2024 NHL Draft Lottery Odds as of end of the regular season
| Rank | Team | Record | Pts. % | Lottery Odds |
| 1 | San Jose Sharks* | 19-53-9 | .287 | 25.5% |
| 2 | Chicago Blackhawks* | 23-53-5 | .317 | 13.5% |
| 3 | Anaheim Ducks* | 26-50-5 | .360 | 11.5% |
| 4 | Columbus Blue Jackets* | 27-43-12 | .402 | 9.5% |
| 5 | Montreal Canadiens* | 30-36-16 | .463 | 8.5% |
| 6 | Arizona Coyotes* | 36-41-5 | .470 | 7.5% |
| 7 | Ottawa Senators* | 37-41-4 | .476 | 6.5% |
| 8 | Seattle Kraken* | 34-35-13 | .494 | 6.0% |
| 9 | Calgary Flames* | 38-39-5 | .494 | 5.0% |
| 10 | New Jersey Devils* | 38-39-5 | .494 | 3.5% |
| 11 | Buffalo Sabres* | 39-37-6 | .512 | 3.0% |
As a result of Draft Lottery rule changes made effective in 2021, a team may only move up a maximum of 10 spots from their finishing position. That means only the bottom 11 teams have a shot at the No. 1 overall pick.
Therefore, instead of the published odds, which indicate the 32nd-place team has an 18.5 percent chance – which was accurate when all 16 non-playoff teams had a crack at the No. 1 pick – the additional percentages from those five clubs are effectively applied to the 32nd place finisher.
*Denotes team is locked into their pre-lottery position.