Anytime goalscorer parlay of the day (Nov. 29): Lock these five players in for a chance at a huge payout

Greg Warren
Nov 29, 2024, 09:30 EST
Boston Bruins left wing Brad Marchand (63) celebrates his second goal against the New York Islanders during the first period at UBS Arena.
Credit: Dennis Schneidler-Imagn Images

After a short hiatus for American Thanksgiving, the NHL is back with a vengeance on Friday with a 12-game slate that includes several afternoon matchups.

Daily Faceoff’s sports betting analysts are putting their heads together to construct a five-leg anytime goalscorer parlay for the busy slate, with the hopes of a massive payout heading into the weekend. Our combined goal this season will be to hit just one of these five-leg parlays at some point this season, as our implied odds of cashing each week will be less than 1%.

Parlays are not a profitable way to wager in the long run, as they’re big moneymakers for sportsbooks, which is why bettors often see them so widely promoted. Don’t blow a significant portion of your bankroll on these types of bets; they should be for recreational purposes only and used as a form of entertainment. In terms of win probability, a parlay of this magnitude isn’t a good bet when compared to single-game wagers.

With that in mind, here are our five anytime goalscorer picks for Friday’s NHL action using Sports Interaction’s odds:

Sean Couturier (+300) – Greg Warren

Why not ride the hot hand of Couturier at these relatively long odds? The two-way forward has scored in three straight games heading into action against the New York Rangers, who have allowed the second-most expected goals against per 60 minutes (3.69) in the league behind the Anaheim Ducks, according to Evolving Hockey. Igor Shesterkin is the likely starter (but not confirmed as of Friday morning) in goal for New York, but he’s struggled mightily this month, posting a 3.44 GAA and .902 SV%, well below his usual elite standards. Couturier ranks in the 77th percentile in shots on goal and the 73rd percentile in offensive zone time at 5-on-5 this season, according to NHL EDGE data.

Brad Marchand (+175) – Andy MacNeil

Brad Marchand and David Pastrnak lead the team with eight goals each. While Pastrnak has 21 more shots overall, Marchand has outshot him over the last 10 games, scoring five times. Marchand also leads the team in expected goals per 60 minutes, with 1.66 compared to 1.33 for Pastrnak. The Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing the most goals in the league, and they rank among the bottom five teams in shots and expected goals against (per 60), which makes this a great spot to back Marchand for an anytime goal.

Matt Boldy (+165) – Andy MacNeil

Kirill Kaprizov is the Minnesota Wild’s MVP and one of the league’s most valuable players overall, but he’s not carrying the load alone. Linemate Matt Boldy has been a key contributor, leading the team with 78 shots on goal. Boldy is close to Kaprizov in expected goals per 60 minutes (1.39) and total goals (11). Though Boldy hasn’t scored in three games, he’s had nine shots on goal during that stretch and hasn’t gone four games without a goal this season. While Chicago isn’t terrible defensively, the Blackhawks have allowed four or more goals in eight of 12 games against Minnesota since 2021-22.

Nick Schmaltz (+360) – Nick Martin

Entering this year, Schmaltz held a 0.32 goals per game average over the last three seasons, and he holds a career 13.5% shooting percentage. Given that he has remained on Utah’s top line and top power-play unit in the majority of games, it’s pretty stunning that he’s tallied zero goals. Especially considering his overall play hasn’t looked bad by any means. He’s tallied 17 assists, and driven play at a high rate offensively. Utah’s current top line of Schmaltz, Clayton Keller and Barrett Hayton holds a 55.8% expected goal share and has generated 3.74 xGF/60. He has 25 attempts and 12 shots on goal over the last six games, which doesn’t include a disallowed goal Saturday versus Pittsburgh.

Utah’s new power-play unit with Logan Cooley in the place of Alex Kerfoot has succeeded 40% of the time in a small three-game sample, and has looked quite threatening. Dylan Guenther’s one-timer will always be the “A” look for the unit, but Schmaltz has a good release in the bumper spot even if we haven’t seen it yet. As teams will start to cheat more to take away Guenther, the play to Schmaltz in the bumper spot should be there.

The Oilers’ goaltenders hold an .887 SV% this season, and they have allowed 3.14 goals against per game. They provide a good opportunity for Schmaltz to break through, and I’m happy with the juicy +360 price tag.

Nathan MacKinnon (+150) – Nick Martin

A tough matchup in Dallas should mean big minutes for Colorado’s superstars, as they look to steal a road win on the road versus an elite Stars side. While the Stars are a great defensive team, MacKinnon was able to do some damage versus a similar Stars roster last year, netting three goals and seven points in four regular season matchups.

MacKinnon enters off an entirely dominant performance versus the Knights on Wednesday. He had 19 shot attempts and 10 on goal, and hit the post twice. While MacKinnon has scored just seven goals in 23 games this season, he holds a 0.62 goal per game average in the previous two seasons and the reigning Hart Trophy winner’s game hasn’t dropped off at all. MacKinnon will likely make an impact in this important matchup, and I think +150 is a good price to back him finding the back of the net.

Parlay odds: +33422
Potential payout on $10 bet: $3,342.25 (implied odds of cashing=0.3%)

*odds calculated on the Action Network’s Parlay Calculator.