Brock Seguin’s fantasy hockey top 300 playoff rankings: Full Projections

Brock Seguin’s fantasy hockey top 300 playoff rankings: Full Projections
Credit: Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid (© Jamie Sabau-USA TODAY Sports)

Just when you thought the Fantasy Hockey season was done, it’s Playoff Pool time!

NHL Playoff pools are unique because the quality of the team a player plays for can be more important than the individual’s production level. For example, 20 games of David Krejci would likely be more productive than the six games of Aleksander Barkov.

To help identify the best players for the 2022 NHL Playoffs, I used our betting model (Bulsink Bot), which provides the probabilities of each team advancing through each round. Using those probabilities, I created “expected games played” for each team. Once you have expected games played, I plugged it into my regular season projections model to generate projections for every skater in the postseason. I used the same probabilities to help generate team goalie projections as well.

The rankings below are based on the following pool format and scoring system:

  • 12 Teams
  • 10 Skaters
  • 1 Team Goalie
  • Goal: 1 Point
  • Assist: 1 Point
  • Team Win: 1 Point

Model Probabilities

Skaters

RankPlayerTeamPos.GamesGoalsAssistsPts.
1Connor McDavidEDMF12.58.013.021.1
2Nathan MacKinnonCOLF13.26.411.718.1
3Leon DraisaitlEDMF12.57.710.318.1
4David PastrnakBOSF14.38.58.016.5
5Mikko RantanenCOLF13.27.58.315.8
6Cale MakarCOLD13.24.09.913.9
7Brad MarchandBOSF13.04.98.313.2
8Mitch MarnerTORF10.84.28.913.1
9Auston MatthewsTORF10.87.06.113.1
10Jason RobertsonDALF11.15.97.013.0
11Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDMF12.54.08.012.1
12Artemi PanarinNYRF10.23.48.511.9
13Jack HughesNJDF9.85.16.311.4
14Nikita KucherovTBLF8.63.67.811.4
15Sebastian AhoCARF12.45.55.811.4
16Valeri NichushkinCOLF13.24.56.611.1
17Zach HymanEDMF12.55.05.910.9
18William NylanderTORF10.84.85.910.6
19Matthew TkachukFLAF8.24.06.510.5
20Roope HintzDALF11.15.25.210.4
21Kirill KaprizovMINF8.95.05.310.3
22Patrice BergeronBOSF13.04.55.710.2
23Mika ZibanejadNYRF10.24.25.910.1
24Joe PavelskiDALF11.13.86.310.1
25John TavaresTORF10.84.15.910.0
26David KrejciBOSF13.02.87.110.0
27Patrick KaneNYRF10.22.96.69.6
28Steven StamkosTBLF8.63.85.79.4
29Aleksander BarkovFLAF8.23.55.99.4
30Mark StoneVGKF10.83.65.89.3
31Evander KaneEDMF12.55.34.09.3
32Jack EichelVGKF10.84.24.99.1
33Charlie McAvoyBOSD13.01.47.69.0
34Tyler BertuzziBOSF13.03.55.69.0
35Kyle ConnorWPGF8.94.05.09.0
36Nico HischierNJDF9.83.35.58.8
37Adam FoxNYRD10.21.37.48.7
38Martin NecasCARF12.43.35.58.7
39Artturi LehkonenCOLF13.23.84.98.7
40Kevin FialaLAKF9.03.25.58.6
41Devon ToewsCOLD13.21.77.08.6
42Jesper BrattNJDF9.83.55.18.6
43Jake DeBruskBOSF13.04.73.88.5
44Timo MeierNJDF9.84.63.98.5
45Brent BurnsCARD12.42.16.38.4
46Brayden PointTBLF8.64.34.18.3
47Taylor HallBOSF13.03.25.08.3
48Jamie BennDALF11.13.35.08.2
49Jonathan MarchessaultVGKF10.83.84.48.2
50Mark ScheifeleWPGF8.94.04.28.1
51Chandler StephensonVGKF10.82.45.78.1
52Miro HeiskanenDALD11.11.26.88.0
53Mats ZuccarelloMINF8.92.55.58.0
54Vladimir TarasenkoNYRF10.23.05.08.0
55Pavel ZachaBOSF13.03.24.78.0
56Teuvo TeravainenCARF12.42.65.38.0
57Anze KopitarLAKF9.02.55.17.6
58Shea TheodoreVGKD10.81.65.97.5
59Nikolaj EhlersWPGF8.93.14.57.5
60Vincent TrocheckNYRF10.22.84.67.4
61Chris KreiderNYRF10.24.92.47.4
62Bowen ByramCOLD13.22.74.67.3
63J.T. CompherCOLF13.22.94.37.2
64Morgan RiellyTORD10.80.96.37.2
65Blake WheelerWPGF8.92.15.17.2
66Ryan O’ReillyTORF10.83.23.97.2
67Sam ReinhartFLAF8.23.14.17.2
68Michael BuntingTORF10.82.94.17.0
69Dougie HamiltonNJDD9.82.05.07.0
70Pierre-Luc DuboisWPGF8.93.13.96.9
71Brock NelsonNYIF8.23.73.26.9
72Evan RodriguesCOLF13.22.93.96.9
73Shayne GostisbehereCARD12.42.04.86.9
74Reilly SmithVGKF10.83.23.76.8
75Hampus LindholmBOSD13.01.35.56.8
76Matt BoldyMINF8.93.03.86.8
77Tyler SeguinDALF11.13.03.76.8
78Charlie CoyleBOSF13.02.44.46.7
79Alex PietrangeloVGKD10.81.65.06.7
80Mason MarchmentDALF11.12.64.16.6
81Mathew BarzalNYIF8.21.94.76.6
82Victor HedmanTBLD8.61.45.26.6
83Viktor ArvidssonLAKF9.02.83.76.5
84Josh MorrisseyWPGD8.91.65.06.5
85Bo HorvatNYIF8.23.72.86.5
86Ivan BarbashevVGKF10.82.53.96.5
87Carter VerhaegheFLAF8.23.43.06.4
88Max DomiDALF11.12.24.26.4
89Darnell NurseEDMD12.52.04.46.4
90William KarlssonVGKF10.81.94.46.4
91Adrian KempeLAKF9.03.82.56.3
92Samuel GirardCOLD13.21.05.26.2
93Dmitry OrlovBOSD13.01.64.66.2
94Jared McCannSEAF8.13.52.76.2
95Seth JarvisCARF12.42.43.86.2
96Evan BouchardEDMD12.51.44.66.0
97Alex KillornTBLF8.62.63.46.0
98Brandon HagelTBLF8.62.93.06.0
99Drew DoughtyLAKD9.01.24.75.9
100Ryan HartmanMINF8.92.73.25.9
101Jesperi KotkaniemiCARF12.42.43.45.8
102Phil KesselVGKF10.81.93.95.8
103Jordan StaalCARF12.42.73.15.8
104Dawson MercerNJDF9.82.63.15.7
105Brandon MontourFLAD8.21.44.35.7
106Phillip DanaultLAKF9.02.33.35.7
107Brady SkjeiCARD12.42.13.55.6
108Kailer YamamotoEDMF12.52.43.15.5
109Matty BeniersSEAF8.12.33.25.5
110Ondrej PalatNJDF9.81.93.65.5
111Stefan NoesenCARF12.42.03.55.5
112Mikhail SergachevTBLD8.60.94.55.4
113Aaron EkbladFLAD8.21.83.55.3
114Wyatt JohnstonDALF11.13.12.25.3
115Paul StastnyCARF12.42.32.95.3
116Jordan EberleSEAF8.12.03.35.3
117Calle JarnkrokTORF10.82.42.75.2
118Sam BennettFLAF8.22.42.75.2
119Alex NewhookCOLF13.22.22.95.1
120Vince DunnSEAD8.11.14.05.1
121Mattias EkholmEDMD12.51.33.85.0
122Oliver BjorkstrandSEAF8.12.32.75.0
123Erik HaulaNJDF9.81.93.15.0
124Evgenii DadonovDALF11.11.83.15.0
125Noah DobsonNYID8.21.33.75.0
126Gustav NyquistMINF8.91.83.14.9
127Nic RoyVGKF10.82.12.84.9
128Filip ChytilNYRF10.22.22.84.9
129Erik GustafssonTORD10.80.74.14.9
130John KlingbergMIND8.91.13.84.9
131Alexander KerfootTORF10.81.43.44.8
132Alex IafalloLAKF9.02.02.84.8
133Anthony DuclairFLAF8.21.83.04.8
134Yanni GourdeSEAF8.11.73.14.8
135Anders LeeNYIF8.22.82.04.8
136Nino NiederreiterWPGF8.92.72.04.8
137Tomas TatarNJDF9.82.12.64.8
138Jaccob SlavinCARD12.40.93.94.7
139Lars EllerCOLF13.21.92.84.7
140Brett PesceCARD12.40.93.84.7
141Mattias JanmarkEDMF12.51.82.84.6
142Jesper FastCARF12.41.72.94.6
143Jaden SchwartzSEAF8.12.02.54.5
144Warren FoegeleEDMF12.52.12.44.5
145Kaapo KakkoNYRF10.21.92.64.5
146Trevor MooreLAKF9.01.62.84.4
147Trent FredericBOSF13.02.22.24.4
148Marcus JohanssonMINF8.91.62.74.4
149Frederick GaudreauMINF8.91.82.54.3
150Alexis LafreniereNYRF10.22.12.24.3
151Jesse PuljujarviCARF12.41.82.54.3
152Anthony CirelliTBLF8.61.72.74.3
153Gabriel VilardiLAKF9.02.61.74.3
154Kyle PalmieriNYIF8.22.02.34.3
155Zach PariseNYIF8.22.02.34.3
156Ryan McLeodEDMF12.52.02.34.3
157Anton LundellFLAF8.21.72.64.3
158Damon SeversonNJDD9.80.93.44.3
159Jean-Gabriel PageauNYIF8.21.72.64.2
160Matt GrzelcykBOSD13.00.73.64.2
161Jared SpurgeonMIND8.91.23.04.2
162Sean DurziLAKD9.00.83.44.2
163Daniel SprongSEAF8.12.21.94.2
164K’Andre MillerNYRD10.21.03.14.1
165Jordan MartinookCARF12.41.52.54.1
166Josh MansonCOLD13.21.03.04.0
167Marcus FolignoMINF8.91.72.23.9
168Logan O’ConnorCOLF13.21.32.63.9
169Michael AmadioVGKF10.82.31.63.9
170Will CarrierVGKF10.82.21.73.9
171Denis MalginCOLF13.21.91.93.9
172Jacob TroubaNYRD10.21.02.93.8
173Gustav ForslingFLAD8.21.12.73.8
174Neal PionkWPGD8.90.73.13.8
175Barclay GoodrowNYRF10.21.42.43.8
176Arthur KaliyevLAKF9.01.81.93.7
177Nick BjugstadEDMF12.52.11.63.7
178Garnet HathawayBOSF13.02.01.83.7
179Klim KostinEDMF12.51.91.93.7
180Ty DellandreaDALF11.11.22.53.6
181Ryan SuterDALD11.10.63.03.6
182Miles WoodNJDF9.82.01.63.6
183Alex WennbergSEAF8.11.22.43.6
184Ross ColtonTBLF8.61.91.73.6
185Brandon TanevSEAF8.11.81.73.5
186Eetu LuostarinenFLAF8.21.32.23.5
187Eeli TolvanenSEAF8.11.91.63.5
188Matt NietoCOLF13.21.61.93.5
189Oskar SundqvistMINF8.91.22.23.5
190Justin SchultzSEAD8.10.62.83.4
191Noel AcciariTORF10.81.61.73.4
192Blake LizotteLAKF9.01.22.23.4
193David KampfTORF10.81.12.33.3
194Sam LaffertyTORF10.81.41.93.3
195Adam LowryWPGF8.91.41.93.3
196Nick PaulTBLF8.61.71.63.3
197Ryan GravesNJDD9.80.92.43.3
198Pierre EngvallNYIF8.21.71.63.3
199Jake McCabeTORD10.80.52.83.2
200Timothy LiljegrenTORD10.80.92.33.2
201Esa LindellDALD11.10.92.43.2
202Derek RyanEDMF12.51.81.43.2
203Mason AppletonWPGF8.91.22.03.2
204Tomas NosekBOSF13.01.02.23.2
205Corey PerryTBLF8.61.51.63.1
206Colin MillerDALD11.10.72.43.1
207Brett KulakEDMD12.50.62.53.1
208Cody CeciEDMD12.50.42.73.1
209Alec MartinezVGKD10.80.92.23.1
210Joel Eriksson EkMINF4.51.31.73.1
211Ryan DonatoSEAF8.11.61.53.1
212Quinton ByfieldLAKF9.00.72.33.0
213Vladislav NamestnikovWPGF8.91.31.73.0
214Tyler MotteNYRF10.21.41.53.0
215Justin HollTORD10.80.32.62.9
216Nathan BastianNJDF9.81.41.52.9
217Andrew CoglianoCOLF13.21.21.62.8
218T.J. BrodieTORD10.80.42.52.8
219Keegan KolesarVGKF10.81.01.92.8
220Morgan GeekieSEAF8.10.91.92.8
221Vladislav GavrikovLAKD9.00.62.22.8
222Adam LarssonSEAD8.10.82.12.8
223Nate SchmidtWPGD8.90.72.12.8
224Michael McLeodNJDF9.80.82.02.8
225Jonas BrodinMIND8.90.72.12.8
226John MarinoNJDD9.80.42.32.7
227Matt RoyLAKD9.00.72.12.7
228Matt DumbaMIND8.90.71.92.7
229Luke SchennTORD10.80.62.02.7
230Eric StaalFLAF8.21.21.42.7
231Nick CousinsFLAF8.20.91.72.6
232Radek FaksaDALF11.11.21.52.6
233Erik JohnsonCOLD13.20.52.12.6
234Ryan PulockNYID8.20.52.12.6
235Adam PelechNYID8.20.62.02.6
236Nicolas HagueVGKD10.80.62.02.6
237Sebastian Aho (D)NYID8.20.52.12.6
238Zach WhitecloudVGKD10.81.01.62.6
239Jimmy VeseyNYRF10.21.21.32.5
240Ryan LindgrenNYRD10.20.32.32.5
241Brandon CarloBOSD13.00.71.92.5
242Jack DruryCARF12.40.61.92.5
243Colin WhiteFLAF8.21.11.42.5
244Luke HughesNJDD4.90.71.72.4
245Nick PerbixTBLD8.60.61.82.4
246Sean WalkerLAKD9.00.42.02.3
247Braden SchneiderNYRD10.20.51.82.3
248Brayden McNabbVGKD10.80.32.02.3
249Brenden DillonWPGD8.90.32.02.3
250Zach Aston-ReeseTORF10.81.31.02.3
251Jamie OleksiakSEAD8.10.61.72.3
252Scott MayfieldNYID8.20.51.82.3
253Dylan DeMeloWPGD8.90.41.92.3
254Jonas SiegenthalerNJDD9.80.31.92.2
255Ryan LombergFLAF8.21.21.02.2
256Morgan BarronWPGF8.90.81.32.2
257Erik CernakTBLD8.60.31.82.1
258Jalen ChatfieldCARD12.40.91.22.1
259Alex GoligoskiMIND8.90.31.82.1
260Pat MaroonTBLF8.60.71.42.1
261Carson SoucySEAD8.10.71.32.0
262Josh BaileyNYIF4.10.61.42.0
263Rasmus KupariLAKF9.00.51.42.0
264Casey CizikasNYIF8.20.81.11.9
265Cal ClutterbuckNYIF8.20.81.11.9
266Tanner JeannotTBLF5.70.91.01.9
267Connor DewarMINF8.90.61.31.9
268Jani HakanpaaDALD11.10.71.21.9
269Jon MerrillMIND8.90.31.51.8
270Mikey AndersonLAKD9.00.51.41.8
271Will BorgenSEAD8.10.31.51.8
272Dylan SambergWPGD8.90.21.61.8
273Ian ColeTBLD8.60.31.51.8
274Radko GudasFLAD8.20.31.51.7
275Brandon DuhaimeMINF8.91.10.61.7
276Jake MiddletonMIND8.90.41.31.7
277Ryan ReavesMINF8.90.61.11.7
278Vincent DesharnaisEDMD12.50.01.71.7
279Connor CliftonBOSD7.20.41.31.7
280Curtis LazarNJDF9.80.90.71.6
281Thomas HarleyDALD11.10.31.31.6
282Marc StaalFLAD8.20.31.21.5
283Michael EyssimontTBLF5.70.51.01.5
284Hudson FaschingNYIF4.10.80.71.5
285Josh MahuraFLAD8.20.51.01.5
286Matt MartinNYIF8.20.60.91.5
287Derek ForbortBOSD7.20.51.01.4
288Kevin StenlundWPGF8.90.90.51.4
289Niko MikkolaNYRD10.20.31.11.4
290Saku MaenalanenWPGF8.90.50.81.3
291Darren HelmCOLF13.20.60.71.3
292Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBLF5.70.40.71.1
293Kevin BahlNJDD4.90.20.71.0
294Joel KivirantaDALF5.60.60.41.0
295Alexander RomanovNYID4.10.10.80.9
296Luke GlendeningDALF5.60.40.40.8
297Samuel BolducNYID4.10.50.20.7
298Darren RaddyshTBLD4.30.20.40.6
299Zach BogosianTBLD4.30.10.40.5

Goalies

RankTeam (Starter/Backup)GamesWins
1Boston Bruins (Linus Ullmark / Jeremy Swayman14.37.4
2Colorado Avalanche (Alexandar Georgiev / Pavel Francouz)13.26.0
3Edmonton Oilers (Stuart Skinner / Jack Campbell)12.55.5
4Carolina Hurricanes (Frederik Andersen / Antti Raanta)12.45.4
5Dallas Stars (Jake Oettinger / Scott Wedgewood)11.14.3
6Toronto Maple Leafs (Ilya Samsonov / Joseph Woll)10.84.1
7Vegas Golden Knights (Thompson / Brossoit / Quick)10.84.0
8New York Rangers (Igor Shesterkin / Jaroslav Halak)10.23.6
9New Jersey Devils (Vitek Vanecek / Mackenzie Blackwood)9.83.3
10Los Angeles Kings (Joonas Korpisalo / Pheonix Copley)9.02.7
11Winnipeg Jets (Connor Hellebuyck / David Rittich)8.92.6
12Minnesota Wild (Filip Gustavsson / Marc-Andre Fleury)8.92.6
13Tampa Bay Lightning (Andrei Vasilevskiy / Brian Elliott)8.62.4
14Florida Panthers (Alex Lyon / Sergei Bobrovsky)8.22.1
15New York Islanders (Ilya Sorokin / Semyon Varlamov)8.22.0
16Seattle Kraken (Philipp Grubauer / Martin Jones)8.11.9
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