Bruins’ Dmitry Orlov climbs to No. 1 on Top 50 Free Agents board

Bruins’ Dmitry Orlov climbs to No. 1 on Top 50 Free Agents board
Credit: © Winslow Townson

That sound you hear is the cash register cha-chinging for Dmitry Orlov.

With two of the premier defensemen taken off the board in an already thin free agent class – by virtue of the Kings re-signing Vladislav Gavrikov and Columbus snapping up Damon Severson – the Boston Bruins’ trade deadline acquisition is in prime position to cash in two weeks from now.

Orlov, 31, has risen to the top of the class as No. 1 on Daily Faceoff’s latest Top 50 Free Agents ranking. AFP Analytics is projecting Orlov to sign for the highest salary cap hit of any remaining pending free agent, and based on the new deals for Severson (8 x $6.25 million) and fellow countryman Gavrikov (2 x $5.875 million), their projection of $6.25 million feels low. In fact, some teams have clamored in recent days that Orlov could fetch as much as $8 million per year, dependent on the term of the deal. That goal may be lofty, but he’s going to get paid.

Orlov was edged in projected total dollars only by Bruins teammate Tyler Bertuzzi, whom Boston is working to try and re-sign by clearing cap space to keep him. Taylor Hall and Matt Grzelcyk are members of the latest Trade Targets board as a result, Brandon Carlo could also be in that mix and Mike Reilly is a buyout candidate.

In Boston, Orlov found an offensive flair missing from his game in Washington. He was acquired for essentially first and second-round picks and posted nearly as many points (17) in 23 games wearing the spoked-B as he did in 43 games (19) with the Capitals. He then followed that up with another eight points as the Bruins were eliminated in seven games by the eventual conference champion Florida Panthers.

After Orlov, the next best available defenseman is New Jersey’s Ryan Graves at No. 4, who is three years younger. Then Scott Mayfield, John Klingberg, Carson Soucy and Radko Gudas are in the next tier down of defensemen – highlighting the scarcity in this class, which is seen as one of the weakest in NHL free agent history.

Outside of goaltender Adin Hill, no player did better to increase his value on the free agent market this summer than newly minted two-time Stanley Cup champion Ivan Barbashev. He helped the Blues capture the Cup in 2019, then hit a career-high of 26 goals and 60 points in 2021-22, and his production dropped off significantly before he was acquired by the Golden Knights with the help of Mark Stone’s LTIR space. Barbashev rounded back into form with 18 critical points in Vegas’ 22 postseason contests – and now they likely won’t be able to afford to keep him.

Elsewhere, Group VI free agent Matthew Phillips has joined the Top 50, as the Calgary Flames try to convince him to remain in the organization while new GM Craig Conroy and head coach Ryan Huska institute a youth movement. The 5-foot-7 Phillips finished fifth and ninth in AHL scoring each of the last two seasons, racking up 36 goals – second-most in the AHL this year – and 70 points for the Calgary Wranglers.

Free agency opens on Saturday, July 1 at 12 noon ET. Here is the Daily Faceoff’s latest Top 50 Free Agents ranking, with help from AFP Analytics projecting a contract for each player:

RkPlayerPosAgeTeamCap HitGPGPTSAFP Projection
1Dmitry OrlovLD31BOS$5.1M667365 x $6.25m
2Tyler BertuzziLW28BOS$4.75M508306 x $5.25m
3J.T. CompherC28COL$3.5M8217525 x $5.3m
4Ryan GravesLD28NJD$3.17M788265 x $5.1m
5Alex KillornRW33TBL$4.45M8227644 x $5.25m
6Michael BuntingLW27TOR$950K8223495 x $5.25m
7Ryan O’ReillyC32TOR$7.5M5316303 x $5.5m
8Patrick KaneRW34NYR$10.5M7321573 x $5.75m
9Ivan BarbashevLW27VGK$2.25M8216454 x $4.2m
10Adin HillG27VGK$2.18M272.50.9152 x $3.3m
11Jordan StaalC34CAR$6M8117342 x $3.2m
12Tristan JarryG28PIT$3.5M472.9.9094 x $4.8m
13Vladimir TarasenkoRW31NYR$7.5M6918503 x $5m
14Max PaciorettyLW34CAR$7M5331 x $1.5m
15Max DomiC28DAL$3M8020565 x $4.75m
16Evgenii DadonovRW34DAL$5M737331 x $1.9m
17Scott MayfieldRD30NYI$1.45M826243 x $3.75m
18Frederik AndersenG33CAR$4.5M342.48.9032 x $4m
19John KlingbergRD30MIN$7M6710333 x $4.6m
20Connor BrownRW29WSH$3.6M4004 x $3.3m
21Carson SoucyLD28SEA$2.75M783163 x $2.5m
22Matt DumbaRD28MIN$6M794143 x $4.4m
23Radko GudasRD33FLA$2.5M722173 x $3.3m
24Erik HaulaC32NJD$2.38M8014413 x $3.5m
25Joonas KorpisaloG29LAK$1.3M392.87.9142 x $2.6m
26Jason ZuckerLW31PIT$5.5M7827485 x $5.4m
27Semyon VarlamovG35NYI$5M232.70.9132 x $2.75m
28Alex KerfootW28TOR$3.5M8210324 x $3.5m
29Shayne GostisbehereLD30CAR$4.5M7513414 x $4.8m
30Luke SchennRD33TOR$850K704221 x $1.6m
31Garnet HathawayRW31BOS$1.5M8413224 x $2m
32Connor CliftonRD27BOS$1M785232 x $1.75m
33James van RiemsdykW34PHI$7M6112291 x $1.8m
34Gustav NyquistLW33MIN$5.5M5111272 x $3.2m
35Pierre EngvallRW27NYI$2.25M7617304 x $4.1m
36David KampfC28TOR$1.5M827272 x $1.8m
37Evan RodriguesC29COL$2M6916393 x $3.7m
38Tomas TatarLW32NJD$4.5M8220483 x $3.3m
39Ian ColeLD34TBL$3M783172 x $2.75m
40Nick FolignoC35BOS$3.8M6010261 x $1.2m
41Jesper FastRW31CAR$2M8010292 x $2.3m
42Nick BjugstadC30EDM$900K7817292 x $2.3m
43Erik GustafssonLD31TOR$800K707423 x $3.4m
44Justin HollRD31TOR$2M802183 x $3m
45Sean MonahanC28MTL$6.38M256171 x $2m
46Jonathan DrouinC28MTL$5.5M582291 x $2m
47Teddy BluegerC28VGK$2.2M634162 x $1.1m
48Noel AcciariC31TOR$1.25M7113212 x $1.5m
49Matthew PhillipsRW25CGY$750K2001 x $750k
50Corey PerryRW38TBL$1M8112251 x $850k


Contract Projections Courtesy of @AFPAnalytics

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