Daily Faceoff NHL DFS Value Plays — December 11th

Braden Schneider
Credit: Sergei Belski-Imagn Images

Welcome to Daily Faceoff’s NHL DFS Value Plays, where five days a week from Monday to Friday, I break down hockey’s main slate, looking for the top value plays.

This value sheet includes salaries, projections for DraftKings and FanDuel for the top forward and defensemen values, as well as honourable mention forwards and three punt options for blue liners. While the main value plays look at spots to get different and their upside, the others revolve around their ability to produce peripheral points by taking shots and blocking them. These players are always live for the bonus on DraftKings, where all the value plays are directed for.

These projections don’t tell you exactly what’s going to happen. One game samples have too much randomness to pin down exact predictions. Instead, the projections represent a player’s average performance if that matchup was played repeatedly. There is a wide range of possible outcomes, and the projections represent each player’s average of those possibilities.

Adam Gaudette (W, OTT2, PP2) – (DK-$2,900 / FD $)
Projected points: DK – 5.9 / FD –
7.4

Let me be the first to say I hate this slate.

Okay, now that that’s out of the way, Adam Gaudette is looking like a nice value option tonight. He’s been red hot this season, scoring a staggering 2.8 goals per hour of ice time, 13 in 26 games so far this season, and offers a fair floor with 7.4 shots on goal per hour and 2.6 blocked shots per hour. He’s seeing the lowest projected ownership of any of the chalky Senators top six, too.

Braden Schneider (D, NYR-2) — ($3,500 / $)
Projected points: 6.5 /
8.1

Schneider finds his way back onto the value plays for the second time this week for reasons similar to Monday: He plays lots of his time with the Rangers’ top-six, and there are few defencemen more productive in his ice time in terms of providing peripheral value. He has a strong floor with 5.0 shots on goal per hour and 6.6 blocks per hour in what should be a fairly high-paced game.

Honourable mention forwards

  1. Claude Giroux (W, OTT2, PP2) — ($3,600/$) — Projected points: DK – 10.0 / FD – 13.4
  2. Jason Zucker (W, BUF3, PP1) ($4,500/$) — 6.7 / 8.7
  3. Filip Chytil (C, NYR3, PP2) — ($4,000/$) — 6.6 / 8.5

Top Punt Defensemen

  1. Nick Jensen (OTT-1) — ($2,600/$) — Projected points: DK – 6.2 / FD – 8.0
  2. Jacob Trouba (ANA-1) — ($3,100/$) — 8.6 / 10.7
  3. Connor Clifton (BUF-3) — ($2,500/$) — 5.3 / 6.8

Zach Laing is the Nation Network’s news director and senior columnist and makes up one-half of the DFO DFS Report. He can be followed on Twitter at @zjlaing, or reached by email at zach@thenationnetwork.com.

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