DailyFaceoff DFS Value Plays – December 14th
We’ve got a bigger eight-game slate tonight, and several players at each position are jumping out as great value options who are either in critical roles for their team or proving great production.
This value sheet includes salaries, projections for DraftKings and FanDuel, and three punt defencemen options.
These projections don’t tell you exactly what’s going to happen. One game sample has too much randomness to pin down exact predictions. Instead, the projections represent a player’s average performance on average if that matchup was played repeatedly. There is a wide range of possible outcomes, and the projections represent each player’s average of those possibilities.
Noah Gregor (W, TOR) – vs. CBJ- (DK-$2,600 / FD -$3,700)
DFO Projection: DK-5.16 / FD-6.35
Noah Gregor has found himself in a great spot, elevated to the Maple Leafs’ top line alongside Auston Matthews and William Nylander on Tuesday night, notching an assist. He remains there with Matthew Knies out of the lineup tonight, and the Leafs are taking on a weak Columbus Blue Jackets team. He’s too cheap for the opportunity he has.
Alex Barre-Boulet (W, TBL) – @ EDM – ($2,800 / $3,700)
DFO Projection: DK-4.94 / FD-6.23
This isn’t the best spot in the world for Barre-Boulet, but he is on the Lightning’s top line, alongside Brayden Point and Nikita Kucherov. This trio is the second-best offensive line on the slate, but have a weak matchup. Even with that, it wouldn’t take much for him to pay off.
Warren Foegele (W, EDM) – vs. TBL – ($3,200 / $4,600)
DFO Projection: DK-5.7 / FD-7.25
Elevated to the Oilers’ second line alongside Leon Draisaitl, Foegele’s got great shot volume, and is scoring half a goal less per hour than expected. Hard to argue with this spot tonight.
Dakota Mermis (D, MIN) – vs. CGY – ($2,500 / $3,600)
DFO Projection: DK-7.17 / FD-9.49
A minimum price defenceman projected to virtually 3x his salary? Count me in. He’ll see next to no ownership, but has blocked 6.1 shots per 60 this season, and will be live for the bonus on DK tonight.
Vince Dunn (D, SEA) – @ CHI – ($4,300 / $6,000)
DFO Projection: DK-9.96 / FD-13.5
Dunn might be a stronger play on DraftKings, than FanDuel, but the Kraken have a great matchup against the Chicago Blackhawks and is popping as the highest value defenceman on the slate.
Joey Daccord (G, WSH) – @ PHI – ($8,400 / $6,800)
DFO Projection: DK-13.6 / FD-18.81
Sticking with the “Chicago is terrible” theme, Daccord is a great play tonight on both sites, maybe more so on FanDuel, given that he’s nearly minimum-priced. Set it and forget it.
Top 3 Punt Defencemen
- Brock Faber ($3,500/$4,400): DK-8.54 / FD-11.45
- Conor Timmins ($2,600/$3,700): DK-5.1 / FD-7.12
- Nick Jensen ($2,600/$3,700): DK-4.91 / FD-6.23
Zach Laing is the Nation Network’s news director and senior columnist. He can be followed on Twitter at @zjlaing, or reached by email at zach@thenationnetwork.com.