2025-26 NHL team points betting odds: Best under bets
Let’s continue rounding out our 2025-26 NHL futures portfolio by taking a dive into two potential regular season underachievers, or at least relative to their respective team point totals set by oddsmakers.
Calgary Flames (team point total under 83.5 at bet365)
The Flames offense ranked 29th in the league last season, and it’s difficult to make a case that they will be much more productive this season.
Nazem Kadri and Jonathan Huberdeau led the team with 67 and 62 points, respectively, but both are on the wrong side of the age curve and will likely only remain comparatively productive at best.
Matt Coronato and Connor Zary could combine to be slightly more productive, but the Flames are highly unlikely to yield anything close to a point-per-game player in the lineup.
The greatest reason Calgary was able to hang around in the playoff race last season was the exceptional play of Dustin Wolf, who rightfully earned a Calder Trophy nomination for his efforts. Calgary ranked 24th in expected goal share per 60 last season but was able to steal plenty of close games thanks to Wolf, who held a +11.9 GSAx rating.
Goaltending is the most volatile position in hockey, but the list of goalies putting up the kind of results that Wolf did last season year after year is very short. Even if Wolf is able to offer elite results once again, it’s hard to believe in the Flames’ chances of contending for a playoff spot, but any potential dropoff in form would likely lead to some ugly results.
There looks to be value in betting the Flames to record 83 points or less this season, and I will also be keeping my eyes out for alternative point totals offering higher payouts to bet the Flames really bottoming out.
Florida Panthers (team point total under 106.5 at Sports Interaction)
The Florida Panthers enter the year with the opportunity to be the first team to win three straight Stanley Cups in the salary cap era, and by the time the playoffs roll around, will likely be viewed as the team to beat.
While I agree with oddsmakers pricing the Panthers as the favorite to win it all next year, it seems logical to expect that the Panthers will coast through parts of the regular season once again next season and fall short of their high total of 106.5 points.
The Panthers finished third in the Atlantic Division last season with a total of 98 points, which resulted in a tough first-round matchup versus the Tampa Bay Lightning, who held home-ice advantage as the higher seed.
Florida flipped the switch come playoff time and comfortably bested the Lightning in five games, and was able to win the Cup despite not having home-ice advantage in any of the four series.
The Panthers will likely feel comfortable getting in the playoffs in any fashion once again and may lack the kind of urgency needed to finish with 107 or more points playing in what should be a highly competitive Atlantic Division.
Five teams qualified for the playoffs out of the Atlantic Division in 2024-25, and from top to bottom, the division looks likely to remain the most competitive bracket in hockey.
Part of the causation towards Florida’s 2024-25 regular season underachievement was the fact that it played without Matthew Tkachuk down the stretch, as the superstar winger did not play a regular season game after being injured during the 4 Nations Face-Off.
Per Elliotte Friedman, Tkachuk is expected to miss a good chunk of games to start the regular season after playing through a torn adductor and sports hernia in the 2025 playoffs.
Seth Jones was excellent for the Panthers in the playoffs and silenced doubters like myself, but trading away backup Spencer Knight could hurt the team this season.
Knight was quietly effective in 2024-25, posting a +6.9 GSAx rating across 38 appearances, which helped the Panthers collect points on the nights Sergei Bobrovsky rested. Likely backup Daniil Tarasov could be significantly less effective than Knight, as he held a -4.4 GSAx and .881 save percentage in 20 appearances with the Columbus Blue Jackets last season.
Considering the strength of the division, and a potential lack of urgency in the regular season, racking up 107 points with Tkachuk set to begin the year on the IR, coupled with potentially lesser play in goal, does not seem overly likely.
2025-26 complete season point totals (bet365)
| Team | Over | Under |
| Anaheim Ducks | 82.5 (-130) | 82.5 (+100) |
| Boston Bruins | 80.5 (-110) | 80.5 (-110) |
| Buffalo Sabres | 82.5 (-130) | 82.5 (+100) |
| Calgary Flames | 83.5 (-105) | 83.5 (-115) |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 106.5 (-110) | 106.5 (-110) |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 67.5 (-115) | 67.5 (-105) |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 84.5 (-115) | 84.5 (-105) |
| Colorado Avalanche | 104.5 (-130) | 104.5 (+100) |
| Dallas Stars | 104.5 (-130) | 104.5 (+100) |
| Detroit Red Wings | 84.5 (-105) | 84.5 (-115) |
| Edmonton Oilers | 104.5 (-115) | 104.5 (-105) |
| Florida Panthers | 106.5 (-115) | 106.5 (-105) |
| Los Angeles Kings | 98.5 (-105) | 98.5 (-115) |
| Minnesota Wild | 95.5 (-105) | 95.5 (-115) |
| Montreal Canadiens | 90.5 (-130) | 90.5 (+100) |
| Nashville Predators | 86.5 (-110) | 86.5 (-110) |
| New Jersey Devils | 99.5 (-105) | 99.5 (-115) |
| New York Islanders | 84.5 (-105) | 84.5 (-115) |
| New York Rangers | 95.5 (+100) | 95.5 (-130) |
| Ottawa Senators | 95.5 (-105) | 95.5 (-115) |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 83.5 (-115) | 83.5 (-105) |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 77.5 (+100) | 77.5 (-130) |
| Seattle Kraken | 78.5 (-115) | 78.5 (-105) |
| San Jose Sharks | 70.5 (-110) | 70.5 (-110) |
| St. Louis Blues | 92.5 (-105) | 92.5 (-115) |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 101.5 (-115) | 101.5 (-105) |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 99.5 (-105) | 99.5 (-115) |
| Utah Mammoth | 93.5 (-105) | 93.5 (-115) |
| Vancouver Canucks | 90.5 (-105) | 90.5 (-115) |
| Washington Capitals | 96.5 (-105) | 96.5 (-115) |
| Winnipeg Jets | 97.5 (-110) | 97.5 (-110) |