Sticky divorce on tap? Steven Stamkos leads Top 75 Free Agents on Canada Day

Sticky divorce on tap? Steven Stamkos leads Top 75 Free Agents on Canada Day
Credit: Apr 27, 2024; Tampa, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Lightning center Steven Stamkos (91) looks on against the Florida Panthers during the third period in game four of the first round of the 2024 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Amalie Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports

There will be fireworks on Canada Day, that much is for damn sure.

The board changed in a blink over the weekend. No. 1 ranked free agent Sam Reinhart signed an eight-year deal to stay with the Stanley Cup champion Florida Panthers minutes before the midnight deadline to do so. And sources say Jake Guentzel, previously ranked No. 2, agreed to terms with the Tampa Bay Lightning across the Sunshine State on a massive, seven-year after they acquired his rights from Carolina earlier on Sunday.

Now, in the wake of Guentzel’s whopper new deal, all eyes on are Steven Stamkos to see if the Lightning will be moving on from their captain and franchise Mount Rushmore player when the market opens on Monday.

Stamkos, 34, is the new No. 1 free agent available heading into Monday’s free-for-all. The relationship has been strained between the two-time champion and two-time league leader in goals with his team – despite both saying all the rights things at season’s end in April. Stamkos is coming off another 40-goal, 80-plus point season. And the Lightning seem unwilling to commit.

We’ve seen this story before, and Stamkos and the Lightning ultimately reconciled after he interviewed with teams during the legal courting period in 2016. So a return can’t firmly be ruled out, but the friction is real. Are the Lightning really going to squeeze him out? Are they making a mistake with the heart and soul of their team?

If Stamkos makes it market, sources say the Vegas Golden Knights are positioning themselves to take a run at him. They said goodbye to original Golden Misfit and Conn Smythe Trophy winner Jonathan Marchessault on Sunday, opening up precious cap space for Stamkos.

But the Bolts won’t be alone. Sources say the Nashville Predators were considered a real possibility for Stamkos on Sunday, along with the Detroit Red Wings, Los Angeles Kings and New Jersey Devils, among others.

Below is our final Top 75 Free Agents ranking, with contract projections courtesy of @AFPAnalytics:

Daily Faceoff’s Top 75 Free Agents

RankPlayerPosAgeTeamCap HitGPGPTSAFP Projection
1Steven StamkosLW/C34TBL$8.5M7940813 x $6.15M
2Jonathan MarchessaultRW34VGK$5M8242693 x $6.3M
3Brady SkjeiLD30CAR$5.25M8013475 x $7.5M
4Brandon MontourRD30FLA$3.5M668336 x $7.7M
5Chandler StephensonC30VGK$2.75M7516515 x $5.63M
6Elias LindholmC/RW30VAN$4.85M7515445 x $6.78M
7Matt RoyRD29LAK$3.15M815255 x $5.85M
8Nikita ZadorovLD29VAN$3.75M756205 x $5.32M
9Brett PesceRD30CAR$4.03M703135 x $6.3M
10Matt DucheneC/RW33DAL$3M8025653 x $4.83M
11Tyler ToffoliRW32WPG$4.25M7933554 x $6M
12Sean WalkerRD30COL$2.65M8110293 x $4.65M
13Jake DeBruskLW28BOS$4M8019405 x $5.8M
14Shayne GostisbehereLD31DET$4.13M8110563 x $5M
15Viktor ArvidssonRW31LAK$4.25M186153 x $4.75M
16Jonathan DrouinLW29COL$825K7919564 x $5M
17Chris TanevRD34DAL$4.5M752193 x $4.5M
18Teuvo TeravainenLW30CAR$5.4M7625534 x $5.25M
19Tyler BertuzziLW29TOR$5.5M8021434 x $5.25M
20David PerronRW36DET$4.75M7617472 x $3M
21Sean MonahanC30WPG$2M8326594 x $5.3M
22Jeff SkinnerLW32BUF$8M7424461 x $3.1M
23Oliver Ekman-LarssonLD33FLA$2.25M809323 x $4.1M
24Brenden DillonLD34WPG$3.9M778202 x $2.9M
25Nate SchmidtLD32WPG$5.95M632142 x $2.4M
26Vladimir TarasenkoRW33FLA$5M7623552 x $4.15M
27Laurent BrossoitG31WPG$1.75M2320.9272 x $2.2M
28Alex WennbergC30NYR$4.5M7910304 x $3.87M
29Anthony DuclairLW29TBL$3M7324423 x $4.33M
30Yakov TreninLW/C28COL$1.7M7612173 x $2.55M
31Anthony StolarzG30FLA$1.1M272.020.9252 x $2.22M
32Anthony ManthaLW29VGK$5.7M7423443 x $4.75M
33Adam HenriqueC34EDM$5.83M8224513 x $4.3M
34James van RiemsdykRW35BOS$1M7111381 x $1.2M
35Warren FoegeleLW28EDM$2.75M8220413 x $3.9M
36Jason ZuckerLW32NSH$5.3M6914322 x $3.7M
37Stefan NoesenRW31CAR$763K8114373 x $3.2M
38Michael AmadioRW28VGK$763K7314273 x $3.1M
39Jani HakanpaaRD32DAL$1.5M642121 x $1.5M
40Matt DumbaRD30TBL$3.9M764123 x $3M
41Ryan SuterLD39DAL$3.65M822171 x $1.75M
42Matt GrzelcykLD31BOS$3.7M632113 x $3.25M
43Jordan MartinookLW32CAR$1.8M8214323 x $2.77M
44Mattias JanmarkLW31EDM$1M714121 x $1M
45Alec MartinezLD36VGK$5.25M554171 x $1.25M
46Erik GustafssonLD32NYR$825K766313 x $3.85M
47Daniel SprongRW27DET$2M7618433 x $4.1M
48Kevin StenlundC27FLA$1M8111152 x $1.3M
49Cam TalbotG37LAK$2M542.50.9131 x $1.8M
50Craig SmithRW34DAL$1M7511201 x $1.1M
51Jack RoslovicRW27NYR$4M599313 x $3.1M
52Erik BrannstromLD24OTT$2M763202 x $2.5M
53Brandon DuhaimeLW27COL$1.1M805133 x $1.8M
54Ilya SamsonovG27TOR$3.55M403.130.891 x $2.35M
55Anthony BeauvillierRW27NSH$4.15M605171 x $900K
56Vincent DesharnaisRD28EDM$763K781111 x $1.1M
57Ian ColeLD35VAN$3M782111 x $2.1M
58Tyson BarrieRD33NSH$4.5M411151 x $1.75M
59Kaapo KahkonenG28NJD$2.75M373.640.8982 x $2M
60Tony DeAngeloRD28CAR$1.68M313112 x $1.75M
61Sam CarrickC32EDM$850K7710162 x $1.47M
62Tyler JohnsonRW33CHI$5M6717311 x $1.7M
63Victor OlofssonRW28BUF$4.75M517151 x $1M
64Kevin LabancRW28SJS$4.73M46291 x $893K
65Mike HoffmanRW34SJS$4.5M6610231 x $1.15M
66Joel EdmundsonLD31TOR$3.5M53162 x $1.65M
67Scott WedgewoodG31DAL$1M322.850.8991 x $1.8M
68Casey DeSmithG32VAN$1.8M292.890.8961 x $1.65M
69Oliver KylingtonLD27CGY$2.5M33381 x $1.1M
70Noah GregorLW25TOR$775K626121 x $1.36M
71Jake BeanLD26CBJ$2.3M724131 x $1.95M
72Jacob BrysonLD26BUF$1.85M36182 x $1.02M
73Jack CampbellG32EDM$5M54.50.8881 x $775K
74T.J. BrodieLD34TOR$5M781262 x $3.65M
75Max PaciorettyLW35WSH$2M474231 x $1.5M
Contract Projection Source: @AFPAnalytics

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