Best NHL player prop bets (Nov. 7): Target these two shots props

Join Daily Faceoff’s Nick Martin as he handicaps the best NHL props available on Thursday night.

Dougie Hamilton Over 2.5 Shots on Goal: -167 Sports Interaction

Chances are the Devils will spend plenty of time in the offensive zone tonight, and their possessive style should be highly effective versus the Canadiens. Montreal ranks bottom five in time of possession this season, and has allowed the second most shots against per 60 in the league.

Low-to-high plays have been there all season versus the Canadiens, whose defensive zone structure has consistently been a train wreck.

Hamilton has been trending lower than expected in terms of shots on goal, but that is being reflected in the betting markets. He has consistently been priced around +125 or worse to record four shots on goal the last two seasons, and -167 for three in this matchup is pretty excellent in comparison.

Hamilton has still attempted 18.73 shots per 60 this season, and is averaging 8.83 on target per hour. At -167, there is value backing him to record three shots in this matchup, and I would also shop around to back him recording four at long numbers.

I’ll also be keeping my eye out for Sam Montembeault’s saves prop in this matchup, and would play if it is set at 30.5 or lower. The Devils will likely carry far more of the play, but it wouldn’t surprise me to see Sam Montembeault dominate and New Jersey allow some quality chances against on plays coming the other way.

Dylan Guenther Over 2.5 Shots on Goal: -143 Sports Interaction

It’s a bit of a dull handicap, and one that I’ve already featured recently in these pieces to suggest backing Guenther to record over 2.5 shots on goal.

Since the last write-up, Guenther has gone over this line in three of his last four games and poured 27 shot attempts on goal. The price was -139 the last time I wrote it up, which suggests oddsmakers still aren’t respecting Guenther’s shot volume enough given what he has done since.

Shot generation can be very random, and simply checking game logs is not always going to be a sufficient strategy. Even very pass-heavy players can end up on shooting benders if plays happen to break a certain way more than expected.

Guenther is a pure shooter who is always going to have a shoot-first mentality. He is playing with two high-quality playmakers at even strength in Clayton Keller and Logan Cooley, and his one-timer from the left circle is the Hockey Club’s preferred look on the power play.

The Blues are also a better than average target for this prop. They have 31.09 shots against per 60 this season, and should provide Utah more opportunity to play in the offensive zone than it had versus Vegas and Winnipeg the last two games.

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